R3 CHEVALIER CONSTRUCTION HANDICAP

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Sha Tin (M23) - Sunday, 25 November 2018

13:45 HK TIME

summary


This isn’t a race that holds a great deal of appeal for me, unless reasonable odds for INFINITY ENDEAVOUR can be snapped up. He ran quite well first-up, will strip fitter, and the weight swing in his favour against the key rivals could prove key. He’s drawn okay and he is capable of upsetting the others at a big price. NOT LISTENIN’TOME has worked well with the blinkers back on and he will find this a lot easier than he did against Hot King Prawn et al last time. Countering that of course is that he also has a lot more weight to carry and concede to other horses. A similar case applies to JUMBO LUCK who has a decent record over the course and distance. He could be in the race for a long way, with the pressure for the lead being nowhere near as great as the was the case in his recent Group assignments. WISHFUL THINKER has upside and should be working home strongly. He’s drawn the inside though and will probably settle a few lengths from the leaders, which makes it tough in some respects.

selections


7 INFINITY ENDEAVOUR

(rp – $8.50)

6th

1 NOT LISTENIN’TOME

(rp – $5.50)

5th

2 JUMBO LUCK

(rp – $6.00)

2nd @ $1.60p (quinella with 3 @ $12.85)

3 WISHFUL THINKER

(rp – $8.00)

1st @ $5.00 & $1.85 ($6.00 best corporate)

strategy


7 INFINITY ENDEAVOUR

WIN & PLACE

speed


I expect GOOD speed here with SAUL’S SPECIAL and JUMBO LUCK contesting the lead spots early. BALTIC WHISPER won’t be far away either with NOT LISTENIN’TOME tracking these horses through out the early stages of this 1000m dash.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)