R6 DES VOEUX HANDICAP

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Happy Valley (M22) - Wednesday, 21 November 2018

21:50 HK TIME

summary


This is a relatively open contest. GOLD LAND is having his second run down in Class 4 and was given plenty to do at his last outing over this course and distance. He should be at peak fitness now and with a better run through out the race he might be able to score. TAI SMART is a galloper that promotes some interest as a series of his efforts last term would be good enough to win here tonight, but he goes in to this first-up on the back of an even trial and Frankie Lor’s horses generally improve with a raceday run. In addition he’s drawn out wide, will settle back near last in a race where the tempo isn’t likely to be quick. That said, watch his price, it could be a case of needing to have something on him. STARLIT KNIGHT was quite impressive when he scored at his last outing but tactically it worked out well for him and I’m not convinced that he’ll get the same favours and race-shape again tonight. MAGIC SUCCESS comes through the same form line (race 128) so he too is worth consideration. He should get a good run behind the main speed and Purton riding is a definite plus. Overall it’s not a race I’m going to recommend an outlay in, however, use my prices accordingly and if outlaying, do so conservatively.

selections


2 GOLD LAND

(rp – $4.50)

1st @ $7.00 & $2.55

3 TAI SMART

(rp – $7.50)

8th

4 STARLIT KNIGHT

(rp – $9.00)

5th

8 MAGIC SUCCESS

(rp – $8.00)

11th

strategy


NO OUTLAY RECOMMENDED

use prices accordingly

speed


PO CHING TREASURE might be ridden to lead this race and there’s not much speed expected overall. STARLIT KNIGHT and LITTLE ISLAND could take up positions close by with IMPECCABLE FELLOW.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)