R3 JACKSON HANDICAP

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Happy Valley (M22) - Wednesday, 21 November 2018

20:20 HK TIME

summary


This is a thin contest and I don’t expect the form to hold up very well from it going forward. NICE FANDANGO is arguably on his mark but he might attain an uncontested lead and that could be enough for him to be able to beat some moderate opposition. I am willing to give DOLLAR REWARD another chance. He was given a dreadful ride last time and his effort prior when second to key rival KHAKI showed that he is up to this level, with the right run. He could get that “right run” from barrier 5 tonight. Khaki appears to have improved for popular South African-trainer Tony Millard and can figure again. He has some tactical speed which should stand him in could stead here. WALDORF covered plenty of ground at his last start and battled-on gamely enough. The problem for him is that he’s not likely to get things much easier from the outside draw tonight. Overall this is not a big investment race with a small each way on Dollar Reward looking the most worthwhile approach.

selections


7 DOLLAR REWARD

(rp – $5.50)

5th

1 KHAKI

(rp – $4.40)

2nd @ $1.65p

5 NICE FANDANGO

(rp – $6.50)

11th

4 WALDORF

(rp – $8.00)

4th

strategy


7 DOLLAR REWARD

WIN & PLACE

speed


Jumping from barrier 1 should allow NICE FANDANGO to find the lead from STRIKING MR C and LEAISURED FEET. KHAKI is drawn to potentially sit just off these two with SHINING ON holding a rails position a couple of lengths off those horses.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)