R9 BOCHK ASSET MANAGEMENT HANDICAP

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Sha Tin (M21) - Sunday, 18 November 2018

17:15 HK TIME

summary


This is a difficult race to work out in many respects with quite a few runners similarly rated and I won’t be playing. CALIFORNIA FORTUNE might take some running down on the lead and the bulk of his recent form suggests he can notch another win however there is some doubt as to whether he will get his own way in front. I would have been reasonably keen to back PATCH BABY had he drawn better, but it will not be easy from the outside gate. He maps to get to a nightmare position, back in the running and traveling wide. Nonetheless, he might be the best value each way option if playing. ALMABABY is fit and well and from a low draw, he should get every chance to run well again. RAGINING STORM isn’t a straightforward horse, but he’s drawn for Moreira to tuck him behind the leaders, and if he travels kindly he is capable of a strong sprint late. Some case can be made for STORM SIGNAL who makes his way back to the bigger track. He’s been putting up some decent figures over the Valley 1000m this term, which illustrate that he’s an improved horse from when he tried Sha Tin previously.

selections


1 CALIFORNIA FORTUNE

(rp – $5.50)

4th

12 RAGING STORM

(rp – $6.00)

1st @ $3.70 & $1.75 ($5.00 best corporate)

7 PATCH BABY

(rp – $6.50)

14th

4 ALMABABY

(rp – $7.00)

7th

13 STORM SIGNAL

(rp – $8.00)

3rd @ $4.75p

strategy


NO OUTLAY RECOMMENDED

use prices accordingly

speed


CALIFORNIA FORTUNE can lead this event at GOOD speed from ALMABABY. PICK NUMBER ONE can work forward with STORM SIGNAL. NEW ASIA SUNRISE and RAGING STORM are drawn to tuck-in just behind the main speed.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)