R3 BOCHK PRIVATE BANKING HANDICAP

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Sha Tin (M21) - Sunday, 18 November 2018

14:00 HK TIME

summary


It is pretty hard to knock the recent form of ELUSIVE STATE who has gone to another level since joining Tony Millard’s string. He is a deserved favourite and will be hard to beat again even though he’ll need a sharp ride from the outside barrier. With a swing in the weights, a fairer track and the booking of Moreira, REMARKABLE should run well. He probably needed the run first-up and I expect that he’d be improved since. He’s the type where clear running and being able to build into his race at the right time is important, so being drawn out isn’t as significant for him as it might be for others. RIGHT HONOURABLE has been in solid form this term and there is no reason why he shouldn’t perform well again, while TANG FLEMING might get an easy time on-pace and if that transpires, then he could be some value also. Given early betting this is a race where my pricing dictates small win outlays on Tang Fleming and Right Honourable.

selections


3 ELUSIVE STATE

(rp – $3.50)

1st @ $3.45 & $1.55

8 REMARKABLE

(rp – $6.00)

7th

2 TANG FLEMING

(rp – $7.00)

3rd @ $2.20p

6 RIGHT HONOURABLE

(rp – $9.00)

5th

strategy


2 TANG FLEMING

WIN (small units)

6 RIGHT HONOURABLE

WIN (small units)

speed


TANG FLEMING can get an uncontested lead here and might be able to “steal” the event as a result. TURF SPRINT maps well with ELUSIVE STATE having to navigate the right path from barrier 12, which might not be straightforward.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)