R2 BOCHK BUSINESS INTEGRATED SERVICES HANDICAP

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Sha Tin (M21) - Sunday, 18 November 2018

13:30 HK TIME

summary


The second race is on the all-weather surface and it’s probably best watched. SPICY KAKA has been in solid form this preparation and with the move up to a mile he looks well placed to get back in the winner’s enclosure. I expect that he’ll receive a soft run on the rail; two or three back from the leader, and will only need a little luck to be fighting out the finish. The big value in this event is RIGHTEOUS MATE. He is badly drawn (which is a significant reason for his price), but his efforts this term have rated well and I believe he can transfer that form to the all-weather. He will need some Purton genius, but at the price he’s worth a small outlay. QUICK RETURN will probably be over-bet with Moreira jumping on board, but his overall profile gives him claims to be one of the hardest to beat. SUPERIOR BOY had the bias in his favour when scoring over this course and distance at his last outing, but he will get a soft run again and isn’t the worst here. I won’t be betting into this race to any significant degree, however Spicy Kaka and Righteous Mate are the two at prices.

selections


11 SPICY KAKA

(rp – $4.00)

9th

10 RIGHTEOUS MATE

(rp – $9.00)

7th

9 QUICK RETURN

(rp – $6.00)

8th

13 SUPERIOR BOY

(rp – $7.50)

2nd @ $1.70p

strategy


11 SPICY KAKA

WIN (small units, e.g. 1)

10 RIGHTEOUS MATE

WIN (smaller unit, e.g. 0.5)

speed


There doesn’t look to be much speed in this event with MEGATRON likely to work to the front. It could be that there is a move from a jockey or two if the pace isn’t strong down the back, but TRAVEL FIRST and SUPERIOR BOY in the rush to and out of the first bend can position well.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)