R10 BOC CREDIT CARD HANDICAP

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Sha Tin (M21) - Sunday, 18 November 2018

17:50 HK TIME

summary


NOBLE STEED presents as one of the better bets on the card here. The booking of Joao Moreira will probably ensure a short quote, but he probably should have won his last start and he strikes a very winnable race. The only real knock is the wide draw, but there looks to be enough early speed for the field to “break up” a bit and we have the right man on board to slot into a good position accordingly. If he sits midfield with some cover then he can finish too strongly for his rivals today. COMFORT LIFE will strip a touch fitter for his last outing and both runs this season have been sound. The runner that could also put some value in to this race is SMART BOY, who based on his second-up run this season could go close. The market will be weary of where the horse will map given Gerald Mosse will ride from barrier 12 and his price will be inflated accordingly. In a race that lacks some depth, he is a better chance than market expectation to figure in the finish. SEVENTY SEVENTY ran better than the bare facts suggest at his latest outing and might appreciate coming back to Sha Tin. He certainly has a fair bit of upside given it’ll be only his seventh start. Noble Steed is one of the best bets of the day though and is the main outlay here. If you’re taking quaddies he’s an anchor on the main ticket and it’s worth taking a smaller percentage with Comfort Life, Seventy Seventy and Smart Boy.

selections


11 NOBLE STEED

(rp – $2.70)

1st @ $2.60 & $1.40 ($2.70 best corporate)

2 COMFORT LIFE

(rp – $7.50)

13th

14 SEVENTY SEVENTY

(rp – $12.00)

4th

6 SMART BOY

(rp – $20.00)

5th

strategy


11 NOBLE STEED

WIN (7 units)

11 with 2

QUINELLA (1 unit)

11 with 6 & 14

QUINELLA (0.5 unit each, 1 unit total)

speed


VIVA COUNCIL is the most likely pacesetter in the last race from GRADE ONE. EXPERTO CREDE has the apprentice riding so might be asked to be aggressive from barrier 13. SMART LEADER is another pace influence with COMFORT LIFE drawn to make his presence felt early too.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)