R1 BOCHK ENRICH BANKING HANDICAP

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Sha Tin (M21) - Sunday, 18 November 2018

13:00 HK TIME

summary


There doesn’t seem a lot of depth to this opening event, with SUPER STAR a deserved favourite on the back of his win on debut. Obviously, he has more upside although carrying top weight could make things a little interesting and especially given he jumps from a wide draw. The figures posted by CHARIZARD at his first career start were most promising and he might be the best option in this event on an each way basis. Once again, the draw isn’t ideal for him either, but he’ll likely be ridden back again and with natural improvement he can run into the finish. I expect the pace to be at least good, which might allow him to do this. Either way, his price is too big, even though he jumps from barrier 14. ALPHA HEDGE has to be given decent claims to win this based on his last run behind the favourite and his best work was late in that event. He has the draw advantage over his main rivals, so should get the right run. REGENCY DARLING maps nicely also and should get an easier run than at his last start. In fact he might be asked to control the race from the lead and I expect will run well from there.

From Sweet In Defeat:

ALPHA HEDGE

selections


1 SUPER STAR

(rp – $3.80)

5th

5 CHARIZARD

(rp – $6.00)

1st @ $4.80 & $2.00 ($7.00 & $2.50 best corporate)

11 ALPHA HEDGE

(rp – $5.50)

2nd @ $1.60p (quinella with 5 @ $13.05)

3 REGENCY DARLING

(rp – $10.00)

8th

strategy


5 CHARIZARD

WIN & PLACE (2 x 4)

speed


I expect the pace to be GOOD here with REGENCY DARLING working to the front. KING MORTAR is drawn to get a good sit from BRAVE BABY. SUPER EURO STAR might be asked to work across to sit close to the leader from his wide barrier.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)