R8 TOKYO HANDICAP

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Happy Valley (M20) - Wednesday, 14 November 2018

22:50 HK TIME

summary


Red Warrior is in super form and looks highly progressive. We have been with him for his last two wins and he looks the hardest horse to beat for sure. The form around his last win (race 107) reads well, with Let’s Take It Easy, Taking Aim and Starship all winning subsequently. Red Warrior has drawn okay, is well-weighted, but unfortunately, much luck Country Star (albeit not as pronounced), he looks under the odds. The major danger is TURIN REDSTAR, who we have also backed at his last couple of starts for two seconds. Quite simply, he should have won both. He is a major player and I like the quinella here. Turin Redstar is a class act and will provide a serious challenge to the favourite and he looks outstanding each way odds. I’m hoping that he finally receives some luck and a measured ride. FAST MOST FURIOUS should be running on, in a race that has quite a bit of speed. LAND GRANT with 48.5kg on his back will be dangerous in the lead if there is an easing of the tempo midrace. I’m happy to recommend a strong each way outlay on Turin Redstar here though.

selections


8 RED WARRIOR

(rp – $2.80)

5 TURIN REDSTAR

(rp – $4.50)

11 LAND GRANT

(rp – $10.00)

3 FAST MOST FURIOUS

(rp – $10.00)

strategy


5 TURIN REDSTAR

WIN & PLACE (5 x 10)

speed


I expect there to be GOOD speed here. LAND GRANT and PACKING DRAGON can contest the lead along with BEAUTY PRINCE from barrier 10. PRETTY BAUHINIA can box seat and TURIN REDSTAR should secure the run of the race.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)