R2 FUKUSHIMA HANDICAP

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Happy Valley (M20) - Wednesday, 14 November 2018

19:45 HK TIME

summary


A newcomer to the Dennis Yip stable that has been working very well in preparation for tonight’s fresh-up assignment looks like he’ll be worth outlaying on here. HURRICANE HUNTER won a Happy Valley trial quite nicely in early October and has since had a hit-out on the dirt with the blinkers on. That morning he was asked for an effort early in the straight, responding well, before being held the last 100m. With the blinkers on tonight, he should be able to sit just behind the main speed from a good barrier and be hard to beat. This is a very weak Class 5 and he does not have to be very good at all to win. TRENDIFUL is vulnerable as favourite, he attained a soft lead last time and he seems destined to be over bet here, “Ting factor” and all. PEACE ON EARTH made the Sweet In Defeatfile as a result of his last run against Trendiful and he might be able to turn the tables on him and all others – his early price looks appealing. HAPPY SOUND and HAPPY HAPPY might provide some value for the exotics if you want to outlay that way. Hurricane Hunter is the clear main paly here though with a smaller outlay on Peace On Earth warranted.

From Sweet In Defeat:

PEACE ON EARTH

selections


4 HURRICANE HUNTER

(rp – $3.50)

4th

11 TRENDIFUL

(rp – $4.80)

12th

12 PEACE ON EARTH

(rp – $6.50)

1st @ $6.20 & $1.70 ($6.50 best corporate)

6 HAPPY SOUND

(rp – $12.00)

10th

10 HAPPY HAPPY

(rp – $16.00)

5th

strategy


4 HURRICANE HUNTER

WIN (6 units)

12 PEACE ON EARTH

WIN (2.5 units)

speed


The pace should be GOOD here with TRENDIFUL leading out YOUNG DREAMER. ROYAL CHOCOLATE can work forward from REGENCY HONEY and I expect HURRICANE HUNTER to be positioned in the first four or five horses in the running.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)