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Sha Tin (M19) - Saturday, 10 November 2018

14:00 HK TIME

summary


Race 3 is on the all-weather surface and a lot will depend on how the track plays, as we saw at the last meeting on the dirt where the rail was “red hot”. Given this fact, from that night meeting I thought the run of Nice Kick against the pattern was enormous (race 140). He was not on the best part of the track and still ran on strongly, posting the 10th-best final-200m (12.08) of the meeting. GOLDEN EFFORT won on the same card and posted slightly better figures overall, but he had the pattern in his favour and will carry more weight this time. ROYAL MOJITO will get a better run in transit today than he did at his last start and can figure, although he is still yet to win a race in Hong Kong from 21 starts. FLYING GODSPELL likes this surface and the last start winner deserves consideration again, along with debutant RIGHT CHOICE who has impressed in his work. All things considered though I’m happy to outlay on Nice Kick primarily along with Golden Effort.

selections


9 NICE KICK

(rp – $4.50)

7th

8 GOLDEN EFFORT

(rp – $5.50)

5th

2 ROYAL MOJITO

(rp – $6.50)

3rd @ $2.45p (trifecta/tierce with 4 & 5 @ $187.10)

5 FLYING GODSPELL

(rp – $9.00)

2nd @ $2.40p (quinella with 4 @ $18.55)

4 RIGHT CHOICE

(rp – $8.50)

1st @ $5.05 & $2.05 ($5.50 best corporate)

strategy


9 NICE KICK

WIN

8 GOLDEN EFFORT

WIN (smaller units)

speed


There should be a strong pace set here with GOLDEN EFFORT. FLYING GODSPELL is another that can go forward with STARTLING POWER and RIGHT CHOICE. NICE KICK might be able to find a good position midfield just behind the main speed.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)