R2 PANASONIC HEAT-PUMP AIR CONDITIONER HANDICAP

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Sha Tin (M19) - Saturday, 10 November 2018

13:30 HK TIME

summary


HAPPY TOUR stands out in this race based on his first win this season where he led from start to finish with the blinkers applied for the first time. Obviously, he has more weight for today’s assignment but he has also drawn to find a prominent position rather easily. The figures from his last win suggest he is heading to a lot higher rating than his current mark of 60 and will therefore be hard to beat and presents as my best of the card. HONEST WAY is better drawn today and he was very good behind Complacency last time, posting the best final-400m (22.05) of the meeting. If Douglas Whyte can find the right position aboard Honest Way then Michael Freedman could end his Hong Kong-training career as a winner. EVERBRAVE brings the same form line (race 111) and he also looks like he’ll map nicely. GLITTERING ARMOUR was a winner against easier opposition at his last outing, but the race itself and his performance rated okay, so with 51.5kg on his back, he could run a decent race here.

selections


1 HAPPY TOUR

(rp – $3.40)

3rd @ $1.10p (trifecta/tierce with 4 & 14 @ $152.00)

4 HONEST WAY

(rp – $4.20)

1st @ $5.30 & $1.75 ($6.00 best corporate)

2 EVERBRAVE

(rp – $7.50)

10th

14 GLITTERING ARMOUR

(rp – $9.00)

2nd @ $3.05p (quinella with 4 @ $37.35)

strategy


1 HAPPY TOUR

WIN (8 units)

speed


I expect HAPPY TOUR to find the lead and be allowed to run along at a GOOD speed overall. OCEAN ROAR is drawn wide and might be asked to push forward early. EVERBRAVE has good speed and is also likely to press forward from barrier 8.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)