R4 PLOVER COVE HANDICAP

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Happy Valley (M18) - Wednesday, 7 November 2018

20:45 HK TIME

summary


The fourth event looks a rather even race with not much separating the chances of four or five runners. E MASTER continues to race in great form and his last start second was in a high rating race won by Happy Tour. His racing pattern doesn’t make it easy for him and his draw dictates that he’ll have to win from near last again. WALDORF drops back to 1200m, which I think is a positive. He may well be able to secure the right run from his draw and could be worth backing at an each way price. Zac Purton stays with HAVE FUN TOGETHER and he just had to work too hard from a wide barrier last start. His run before was good albeit a second with little excuses. Like Waldorf I think it’s realistic to think he could slot in behind the leaders here. FANTASTIC FABIO looks like one of those leaders and if he holds the rail and withstands the potential pressure from BINGO then he could be hard to run down. I won’t recommend a specific play here, however at the right price, I’d be inclined to want to be on Waldorf and Have Fun Together.

selections


3 E MASTER

(rp – $5.50)

4th

6 WALDORF

(rp – $5.50)

2nd @ $3.80p (quinella with 4 @ $35.30)

1 HAVE FUN TOGETHER

(rp – $5.50)

8th

4 FANTASTIC FABIO

(rp – $6.00)

1st @ $6.95 & $2.00 ($7.00 best corporate)

strategy


NO OUTLAY RECOMMENDED

use prices accordingly.

speed


The pace should be at least GOOD here with BINGO likely to contest the lead with FANTASTIC FABIO. How aggressive Whyte is prepared to be will dictate the nature of the race. WALDORF and HAVE FUN TOGETHER could find good spots just behind the leaders here even though both are drawn a touch awkwardly.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)