R1 KAM SHAN HANDICAP

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Happy Valley (M18) - Wednesday, 7 November 2018

19:15 HK TIME

summary


Paul O’Sullivan has had a slow start to the season, however his horse ACTUARIAT looks the hardest to beat in the first at Happy Valley. He is drawn to map well, should be fit enough and be able to secure the right run either leading or trailing in this 1000m sprint. RICH CITY FORTUNE delivered a career-best performance when he won first-up for Jimmy Ting (race 4) and was okay last start. Karis Teetan rides and if he can secure the right trip just behind the leaders he could finish over the top of them. SPORTS MASTER has returned in good form and has put some good numbers on the board, I’m just not sure the drop back to 1000m suits him? I expect that he’ll be finishing strongly though and if the leaders go too fast then he could be the beneficiary. RAICHU is another that can feature. Although he’s well-exposed, he’s at a mark where he can win and he should get the right run to have him competitive. There are a couple of good prices around Raichu, Sports Master and Richcity Fortune with the quinella alongside Actuariat looking appealing. A reasonable play is an each way on Richcity Fortune.

selections


1 ACTUARIAT

(rp – $4.00)

4th

7 RICHCITY FORTUNE

(rp – $4.80)

6th

5 SPORTS MASTER

(rp – $8.00)

2nd @ $2.70p

2 RAICHU

RAICHU (rp – $10.00)

7th

strategy


7 RICHCITY FORTUNE

WIN & PLACE (1 x 2)

1 with 2, 5, 7

QUINELLA

speed


The pace should be genuine here and I expect that ACTUARIAT will be ridden positively from an inside draw. FIRST BEAUTY might contest the lead with IDYLLIC WIND and HAPPY SOUND other runners that can go forward early.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)