R5 TIN HA SHAN HANDICAP

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Sha Tin (M16) - Wednesday, 31 October 2018

21:20 HK TIME

summary


There is a runner from the Sweet In Defeat file here, SPICY KAKA. He was a touch unlucky last time on the turf but has competed with enough merit on this dirt surface in the past. He looks ready enough to win in what presents as an open race. DASHING GAINER likes the track and distance and his first up third this season to subsequent winner Just Not Listening was sound. That sort of run arguably makes him the deserved favourite in this one. Dashing Gainer’s last start run at Happy Valley can safely be forgotten given the nature of his trip and that he’s better on dirt. BURST AWAY sat three-wide without cover on his last outing and battled quite nicely. His only run on this surface was against better opposition and he actually performed to a good level for here – he can figure. FLYING GODSPELL is reasonably consistent over this course and distance and could get to a reasonable position in the running outside of the leader. Looking at how the market is shaping up there looks to be a couple of small worthwhile win outlays on Spicy Kaka and Burst Away. Dashing Gainer’s price should be monitored closer with a view to a small outlay as well.

From Sweet In Defeat:

SPICY KAKA

selections


12 SPICY KAKA

(rp – $6.00)

2nd @ $2.40p (quinella with 10 @ $13.70)

3 BURST AWAY

(rp – $7.00)

6th

2 DASHING GAINER

(rp – $5.50)

3rd @ $1.80p (trifecta & tierce with 10 & 12 @ $91.90)

10 FLYING GODSPELL

(rp – $7.00)

1st @ $3.35 & $1.45 ($5.50 best corporate)

strategy


3 BURST AWAY

WIN (small units)

12 SPICY KAKA

WIN (small units)

speed


There should be a reasonable amount of pace here with DASHING GAINER leading from STRIKING MR C and FLYING GODSPELL. BOND ELEGANCE can sit behind these with BURST AWAY poorly drawn, but potentially able to slot in with a positive ride.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)