R4 TIN HA SHAN HANDICAP

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Sha Tin (M16) - Wednesday, 31 October 2018

20:45 HK TIME

summary


This is a wide-open affair and it’s not easy to be confident about any one runner. NICE KICK comes from some decent races and might find this easier, and even though down the track in one dirt start he has seemed to handle the surface in trials and in work. VIVA COUNCIL and SUNSHINE UNIVERSE come through the same form reference (race 94) and can work home late, although the race they competed in last time set up well for them to do what they did, this event today should shape similarly. It might be that Viva Council goes forward today and that could further enhance his claims. ROYAL MOJITO ran well with blinkers in a recent trial and he tackles this surface for the first time. The draw is not ideal however. HONG KONG FOLKS also went okay in a trial on this surface, but his form overall is terrible. He’d be one to very much take on trust. This is a low confidence race overall, so outlay conservatively. At this stage Nice Kick is a good each way price but play the market closely as per.

selections


11 NICE KICK

(rp – $7.50)

2nd @ $3.15p (quinella with 3 @ $31.90)

5 ROYAL MOJITO

(rp – $6.00)

4th

3 VIVA COUNCIL

(rp – $8.00)

1st @ $6.70 & $2.00

10 SUNSHINE UNIVERSE

(rp – $9.00)

7th

12 HONG KONG FOLKS

(rp – $18.00)

strategy


11 NICE KICK

WIN & PLACE (small units)

speed


The pace here is likely to be at least GOOD with VIVA COUNCIL a potential leader from DR PROACTIVE and WINNING SUPREME. HAPPY COOPERATION is drawn to find a good position, with BORNTOACHIEVE being a pace influence from barrier 11.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)