R3 HEBE HILL HANDICAP

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Sha Tin (M16) - Wednesday, 31 October 2018

20:15 HK TIME

summary


KING GENKI looks like he could be a good bet in this race. He was nearly the victim of a slow tempo at his last outing when he was just successful, but still improved his overall record on this course and distance to three wins from seven starts. Effectively, he goes up a grade and carries 0.5kg less, but benefits with a leading senior rider on board this time albeit in an event that has more depth. CALCULATION will appreciate the step up to a mile and his form on this surface is excellent. His course and distance record 2:1-1-0-0 reflects this and he’s drawn to sit close to the leaders. The “blowout” chance here could be WINNING FAITH, he won on a synthetic track in Australia before coming to Hong Kong and I haven’t minded the way he’s trialed and worked on the dirt here. There seems like there’ll be enough pace in this event, and his recent trial against GLORIOUS ARTIST was good work. Winning Faith will be worth a small outlay even though Glorious Artist is two from two so far on this specialist surface.

selections


4 KING GENKI

(rp – $4.20)

5th

5 WINNING FAITH

(rp – $7.00)

3rd @ $2.35p (trifecta/tierce with 1 & 8 @ $118.50)

1 CALCULATION

(rp – $5.50)

1st @ $4.55 & $1.65

8 GLORIOUS ARTIST

(rp – $5.50)

2nd @ $1.70p (quinella with 1 @ $10.70)

strategy


4 KING GENKI

WIN (3 units)

5 WINNING FAITH

WIN (1.5 units)

speed


BEAUTY PRINCE and BEAUTY SPIRIT can both sit forward in this race and set a GOOD speed overall. KING GENKI and GLORIOUS ARTIST both map nicely to secure runs just behind this pair.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)