R5 THE LONGINES CUP HANDICAP

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Happy Valley (M14) - Wednesday, 24 October 2018

21:15 HK TIME

summary


This is not really a race I want to get too involved in. NOBLE DELIGHT is arguably the most progressive horse here and might take some beating although the 1000m might be a touch sharp too. GENTLE BREEZE showed good promise last term but was quite disappointing first-up this preparation. Perhaps he needed the run and he maps to get the right trip behind the leaders here. If you’re having a wager, it might be worth considering MULTIMAX, who was given a poor ride last time.  The wide gate will put most off, however, he can work forward and might take some running down if Teetan can get one-out before they turn. LUCKY LUCKY went well in a recent trial and a case can be made for him to win. He has his chances at times last term, but is down to a career low mark and has an apprentice giving him more weight relief.  There isn’t too much that standouts here, but Multimax seems the best over early in betting.

selections


12 MULTIMAX

(rp – $6.00)

10th

1 NOBLE DELIGHT

(rp – $4.00)

6th

9 LUCKY LUCKY

(rp – $5.50)

3rd @ $1.75p

4 GENTLE BREEZE

(rp – $7.50)

2nd @ $1.85p

strategy


NO OUTLAY RECOMMENDED

Use prices accordingly.

speed


There looks like the speed will be on the FAST side of GOOD here with LUCKY LUCKY and LUNAR ZEPHYR pushed towards the lead early with NOBLE DELIGHT and MULTIMAX also ridden positively. GENTLE BREEZE might get a soft run behind these horses with BEAUT BEAUT.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)