R10 GRAND SEIKO EXCELLENT HANDICAP

R10 GRAND SEIKO EXCELLENT HANDICAP

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Sha Tin (M13) - Sunday, 21 October 2018

17:50 HK TIME

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summary

There are some good chances in the last race and I expect REGENCY BO BO to be hard to beat once again. He sustained good sectionals to beat home Morethanlucky last time with that horse winning subsequent to that. He can either lead or sit outside SHAMAL and from there could take catching. WISHFUL THINKER takes a step up in distance and whilst unproven, he races like it should be a help to him. His racing pattern is a problematical one for win-backers however as just the right mix of race tempo and luck is required for him to win. JOYFUL TRINITY caught the eye behind Regency Bo Bo in race 46 and gets a 5.5kg weight swing in his favour. He looks value off the early market. SIMPLY BRILLIANT built up an impressive record last season and resumes following some good work and two excellent trials. However, he has top weight and is first up and there might be some more improvement to come from the outing.

selections

2 SIMPLY BRILLIANT

(rp – $4.00)

3rd @ $1.40p

6 REGENCY BO BO

(rp – $5.00)

5th

5 WISHFUL THINKER

(rp – $6.50)

8th

1 JOYFUL TRINITY

(rp – $8.00)

7th

strategy

6 REGENCY BO BO

WIN

speed

I expect this race to be run at a genuine pace with SHAMAL and REGENCY BO BO contesting the lead. RAGING STORM is drawn to get a trip close up with SIMPLY BRILLIANT able to secure the run of the race.