R1 PIAGET EXCELLENT HANDICAP

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Sha Tin (M13) - Sunday, 21 October 2018

13:00 HK TIME

summary


MIDNITE PROMISE was ridden on the speed when he was fresh-up for the season and he worked too hard during the running. He battled on well-enough for fourth and importantly looks to have improved since. Today he should be able find a “smoother” lead and I expect that will help have him fight out the finish. FULL OF CHANCES beat Midnite Promise (race 56) that day and was impressive-enough hitting the line. He has 2kg more to carry but he still has plenty of upside being lightly-raced and should appreciate the 2000m even more so than the 1800m. HO HO FEEL has hit the line okay at his last two starts and looks to be a good price. He’s in the right grade, but just maps to be in a tricky position. LE PANACHE should enjoy the step up to 2000m, a distance that he won over in Class 5. Both his runs this time in have been good and he should receive a good run during the race. I’m happy to be betting Midnite Promise each way and taking a small unit boxed quinella with it, Full Of Chances and Ho Ho Feel.

From Sweet In Defeat:

MIDNITE PROMISE

selections


5 MIDNITE PROMISE

(rp – $5.50)

10th and dropped out like he had an issue.

6 FULL OF CHANCES

(rp – $4.50)

9th

3 HO HO FEEL

(rp – $8.00)

1st @ $10.70 & $2.95 ($11.00 best corporate)

9 LE PANACHE

(rp – $5.00)

3rd @ $1.35p

strategy


5 MIDNITE PROMISE

WIN & PLACE (1 x 2)

3, 5, 6

QUINELLA BOXED (small unit)

speed


Not a great deal of pace is expected here with MIDNITE PROMISE and PO CHING TREASURE the likely leaders. GOOD DAYS and FULL OF CHANCES are drawn to sit ideally behind those two with GENERAL DINO able to position handy.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)