R6 HYDRANGEA HANDICAP

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Happy Valley (M12) - Thursday, 18 October 2018

21:45 HK TIME

summary


There is no standout selection in this event and it’s one that the map suggests should be keenly contested. STORM SIGNAL would have had a better chance to win had he drawn an inside gate, but with some luck from the barrier and having had the benefit of one run this campaign, can be right there in the finish. He’s obviously yet to win in Hong Kong, but he’s on the right mark and is ready to do so. DRAGON PIONEER will strip fitter for the one run this preparation and the return to the city course bodes well. He is drawn to sit on the speed and get every opportunity from there. MASTER ALBERT hasn’t won out of turn but should be running on late. He operates okay in a fresh state and how he ended last campaign is best forgotten. BULB ELITE is very consistent and has had two trials leading in to his seasonal return. Even though 1,200m might be preferable, this is a nice target for him first up and from the inside barrier will just need some breaks when looking to make his run from a likely midfield position. I don’t recommend outlaying much here, but there’s value with my top-three selections, so back all three to win in small units or take a boxed quinella & quinella place (duet).

selections


4 DRAGON PIONEER

(rp – $4.00)

8th

11 BULB ELITE

(rp – $4.80)

10th

9 STORM SIGNAL

(rp – $6.00)

1st @ $5.70 & $2.05 ($7.00 best corporate)

8 MASTER ALBERT

(rp – $12.00)

5th

strategy


4, 9, 11

QUINELLA & QUINELLA PLACE BOXED (small units)

speed


HEALTHY LUCK and DRAGON PIONEER can fight for the lead here with STORM SIGNAL potentially being asked to go forward. MONEY BOY maps to get a sweet run and DEMONS ROCK is drawn to settle just off the leaders.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)