R5 THE AUSTRALIAN TURF CLUB TROPHY (HANDICAP)

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Happy Valley (M12) - Thursday, 18 October 2018

21:15 HK TIME

summary


The fifth is not a straightforward race with little separating the chances of more than half the field. FINE WITH ME ran well enough the first time (Race 52) for his new stable and a repeat of that could have him win again in this class. Even though he was well-beaten by SPARKLING SWORD, the steady tempo and sprint home didn’t really suit Fine With Me. There’s a 5.5kg weight swing in his favour (along with BUNDLE OF ENERGY) over Sparkling Sword which is obviously a significant shift. Bundle Of Energy himself following his late-scratching has trial at the Valley over 1200m. He wasn’t asked for a great deal and has looked okay in his work. It is telling that Purton rides again and Bundle Of Energy is drawn to find a good position in the running. MICKEY RICH won in good fashion fresh up this term and looked a one-paced last start. He had success over 1400m and 1600m in the UK before coming to Hong Kong, so the Valley mile could suit and he’s potential value. MARVEL JOY could be a quick improver following a fresh run where he worked hard close to the lead and faded like most others. He could get a softer time on pace tonight. Overall it’s a low confidence race though, where I don’t recommend outlaying much into.

selections


9 FINE WITH ME

(rp – $6.00)

1st @ $7.00 & $2.10

4 BUNDLE OF ENERGY

(rp – $8.00)

4th

1 MICKEY RICH

(rp – $8.00)

8th

3 SPARKLING SWORD

(rp – $8.00)

3rd @ $2.00p

5 MARVEL JOY

(rp – $8.00)

5th

strategy


9 FINE WITH ME

WIN (small units)

1 MICKEY RICH

WIN (small units)

speed


There’s not a great deal of pace expected here with SPARKLING SWORD and MARVEL JOY the likely leaders. THE FULL BLOOM could be asked to punch forward with BUNDLE OF ENERGY and FINE WITH ME sitting not too far away.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)