R2 ASTER HANDICAP

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Happy Valley (M12) - Thursday, 18 October 2018

19:45 HK TIME

summary


There appears to be plenty of speed in this event and with that a good play here with the lightly-raced DOMINATOR. Usually Paul O’Sullivan’s gallopers improve with the run under the belt and that might be the case with this fellow, although he also might have a class edge on his opposition. He has impressed in two trials leading in, should map nicely, and his final run last term was good enough to win this event. LOVE CHUNGHWA has a decent second-up record and comes through a “hot” rating race won by Country Star and he will also get the pace to suit. The claim and more positive tactics could prove important to FANTASTIC FABIO who is third-up and might have a fitness edge on a few of his key rivals. Another of the main chances will be MANFUL STAR and he goes in to this event first-up. Manful Star comes through a solid form reference (Strathallan and Lunar Zephyr both won at their next starts) and his only win came at this course and distance. SPLIT OF A SECOND is one to consider for the exotics. He’s pretty close to a winnable mark and has further weight relief compared with last start.

selections


9 DOMINATOR

(rp – $4.00)

3rd @ $2.00p

7 LOVE CHUNGHWA

(rp – $6.00)

4th

10 MANFUL STAR

(rp – $6.50)

7th

2 FANTASTIC FABIO

(rp – $7.00)

2nd @ $3.05p

strategy


9 DOMINATOR

WIN & PLACE (2 x 4)

speed


I expect that there will be decent speed here with YOUNG EMPIRE and FANTASTIC FABIO competing for the lead. BURST AWAY could also be ridden aggressively if Whyte can jump him from the barriers on time. DOMINATOR maps to get a perfect run from his barrier.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)