R9 TSUEN LOK HANDICAP

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Sha Tin (M11) - Saturday, 13 October 2018

17:10 HK TIME

summary


Race 9 is another on the all-weather and this very difficult to nail down one or two runners with any confidence. A group of horses rate very similarly, and map permutations are numerous. There looks to be plenty of pace and that might set things up nicely for the likes of UGLY WARRIOR or FORTUNE BOOTH. The former adores the surface and has only tasted defeat once. He might be able to sneak across into an okay position from a wide draw. Fortune Booth is drawn better, but hasn’t shown much tactical speed, but at least shouldn’t cover unnecessary ground. CALCULATION can track the speed and there is no doubt he acts well on this surface. PATCH BABY should get a good run placed behind the leaders and his end-of-season win rated quite highly, so with the right run he too can fight out the finish. PICK NUMBER ONE went quite well in a recent trial but with all the pressure in this event, I certainly can’t find him anywhere near as short as the early market. Could he going to be found wanting, it’s a wide-open race, so play cautiously.

selections


7 UGLY WARRIOR

(rp – $5.00)

1st @ $4.90 & $1.65

3 FORTUNE BOOTH

(rp – $7.00)

8th

10 PATCH BABY

(rp – $6.50)

6th

2 CALCULATION

(rp – $8.50)

2nd @ $2.20p (quinella with 7 @ $16.50)

6 PICK NUMBER ONE

(rp – $8.00)

4th

strategy


7 UGLY WARRIOR

WIN (small units)

3 FORTUNE BOOTH

WIN (small units)

speed


There’s a heap of speed here amongst CALIFORNIA FORTUNE, PICK NUMBER ONE and BEAUTY PRINCE. PATCH BABY and UGLY WARRIOR also have speed to use if their connections so desire. FORTUNE BOOTH sits nicely in the map to potentially finish-on into the race late.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)