R8 TSUEN FU HANDICAP

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Sha Tin (M11) - Saturday, 13 October 2018

16:35 HK TIME

summary


There are some nice progressive types in this event, and the market might let one go out priced too big. CIRCUIT NUMBER TWO will probably start favourite on the back of successive victories, and his on-pace style will give him a solid chance to win again especially as there isn’t likely to be an abundance of pressure here. However, HARMONY VICTORY, who was defeated by WORLD RECORD (Race 10) on day one of this season, was a real eye-catcher. The winner carries 3.5kg more but might appreciate the move to a mile, while Harmony Victory will clearly relish the step up in trip and his recent trial against Circuit Number Two was stylish work. You could make a case for all three and they are all going higher in the ratings. GREEN ENERGY might be able to beat them all and is the runner I am most interested in playing. His final-400m (21.90) off a solid tempo when winning last start over the mile was quite incredible and the addition of blinkers, stable change and tactic change all made a huge difference. Can he do it again? He’s worth having a small outlay on to find out. I’m also happy to outlay on Harmony Victory.

selections


11 GREEN ENERGY

(rp – $7.00)

Late-scratched

3 HARMONY VICTORY

(rp – $4.80)

5th

8 CIRCUIT NUMBER TWO

(rp – $4.80)

3rd @ $1.50p

2 WORLD RECORD

(rp – $8.00)

2nd @ $2.35p

strategy


11 GREEN ENERGY

WIN (2.5 units)

3 HARMONY VICTORY

WIN (4 units)

speed


CIRCUIT NUMBER TWO looks the leader. How much pressure he gets might depend on how PEOPLE’S KNIGHT is ridden. CIRCUIT HASSLER can trail these and GREEN ENERGY might not be positioned too far from them.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)