R3 SHA TSUI HANDICAP

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Sha Tin (M11) - Saturday, 13 October 2018

14:00 HK TIME

summary


The drop in grade is a major bonus for ADONIS who comes from some decent form races in a grade higher than today’s. His effort to finish fourth behind the likes of Relentless Me, Have Fun Together and Endearing near the end of last term reads well and although he goes in to this event a fresh horse, he should have the class on his side. RICHCITY FORTUNE beat NATURAL FLARE when they clashed on the opening day of the season and both runs were sound. The former may have genuinely improved for his new trainer Jimmy Ting, but the win was also partly attributed to a solid tempo and from that perspective Natural Flare was probably at least as good a run. REGENCY HONEY dead-heated for first earlier this week at Happy Valley and can run well on the back-up. I’m happy to primarily back Adonis though on at an adequate each way price.

selections


1 ADONIS

(rp – $3.80)

9th

2 NATURAL FLARE

(rp – $4.50)

5th

9 RICHCITY FORTUNE

(rp – $5.50)

4th

5 REGENCY HONEY

(rp – $14.00)

7th

strategy


1 ADONIS

WIN & PLACE (2 x 4)

speed


The third race should be run at a genuine speed with RENGENCY HONEY and HOT HOT PEPPER two that might contest for the front. RICHCITY FORTUNE maps well and SUPER EURO STAR could go forward from barrier 8.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)