R7 VERBENA HANDICAP

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Happy Valley (M10) - Wednesday, 10 October 2018

22:15 HK TIME

summary


There appears to be bundles of pace in this race and this might set things up nicely for the two runners in the market who clearly have the superior performances from last season, GUNNISON and SAUL’S SPECIAL. Gunnison has been excellent at the city course in both starts and if he holds his form from his last run, then he will be hard to beat. The race shape should suit him and I see him getting a soft run from barrier 4 behind the main pace-setters. That being said, Saul’s Special’s best run in defeat last campaign was behind Refined Treasure (Saul’s Special himself, Superich, Montreal, Alcari all won subsequent to race 628) and that rated very well. He is one from one over the course and distance, again should get pace that suits him and I liked how he moved in a recent barrier trial. Saul’s Special is the best price of the two and he looks the best each way of the night and the quinella with Gunnison and Saul’s Special also makes some appeal. Outside of those two, KEEP MOVING won first-up over the course and distance and gets in with 49.5 kg. He’ll get his chance to win again. MR LUMIERES is two from two fresh-up, but is on his first venture to the city course having not raced or trialed at Happy Valley.

selections


4 SAUL’S SPECIAL

(rp – $3.00)

1st @ $5.10 & $1.90 ($5.50 & $2.00 best corporate)

3 GUNNISON

(rp – $3.80)

4th

6 KEEP MOVING

(rp – $7.00)

10th

9 MR LUMIERES

(rp – $8.50)

7th

strategy


4 SAUL’S SPECIAL

WIN & PLACE (3 x 6)

3 with 4

QUINELLA (1 unit)

speed


There should be strong speed here with FABULOUS ONE and CHEERFULJET the main protagonists. MOMENT OF POWER and KEEP MOVING are others that can make their presence felt early with MR LUMIERES holding a position from barrier 1.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)