R6 THE CITI SPRINT CHALLENGE CUP (HANDICAP)

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Happy Valley (M10) - Wednesday, 10 October 2018

21:45 HK TIME

summary


DOUBLE VALENTINE made our Sweet In Defeat file recently and he has come up the early favourite. He’s drawn to get a nice run and if he can hold the form from his last start, then he should be right in the finish. Having said that, JADE THEATRE was held-up during a crucial stage at his last start and should have finished closer. I have Jade Theatre rated almost the same as Double Valentine for this event, the main difference is that the map favours Double Valentine a touch more. FAIRY TWINS should strip fitter for his first-up run where he battled well behind Eagle and the 2.5kg apprentice’s claim will help his cause. MY CHANCE is another that will strip fitter for the run and the manner in which he hit the line at his last outing was encouraging (Race 54, behind Sparkling Dragon and Double Valentine). Luck in running will play its part, but these are clearly the four leading chances in this event.

 

From Sweet In Defeat:

DOUBLE VALENTINE

selections


8 DOUBLE VALENTINE

(rp – $3.50)

6th

5 JADE THEATRE

(rp – $3.80)

2nd @ $1.40p

2 FAIRY TWINS

(rp – $5.50)

3rd @ $2.15p

10 MY CHANCE

(rp – $9.00)

5th

strategy


8 DOUBLE VALENTINE

WIN (4 units)

5 JADE THEATRE

WIN (3.5 units)

speed


Even though there isn’t an abundance of natural “go forward” types here, there should be sufficient speed with some pace drawn beyond midfield. VICTORY MACHINE and FAIRY TWINS can potential vie for the lead from DOUBLE VALENTINE and ATTENTION.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)