

R5 OSMANTHUS HANDICAP
-
Happy Valley (M10) - Wednesday, 10 October 2018
21:15 HK TIME
summary
This is quite an even race overall. I gave NICE KICK a good chance last time he raced and he was very well supported in the market, but was given a terrible ride. With an easier run in transit, which I map him to receive, I expect that he could turn things around and be fighting out the finish. BINGO covered some extra ground last start and he too might find himself in a better spot this time, but the key is the first 200m for him. That said Zac Purton is the perfect man to help get him up and running early. FLYING MONKEY has drawn the outside gate, which will put many off, but he can work forward and with the 4.5kg claim he looks like he’ll be an appealing price and therefore potential play. APPLAUSE is well-weighted once again and as long as he doesn’t concede too much ground to the leaders in the first half of the race then he too has leading claims, in this contest. It is a race where there are a few genuine chances, but I see some overs about a couple of runners that are worth a small wager.
selections
9 NICE KICK
(rp – $6.00)
4th
7 BINGO
(rp – $4.00)
5th
1 FLYING MONKEY
(rp – $9.00)
12th
12 APPLAUSE
(rp – $6.50)
2nd @ $1.50p
strategy
9 NICE KICK
WIN (1.5 units)
1 FLYING MONKEY
WIN (1 unit)
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