R3 DIANTHUS HANDICAP

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Happy Valley (M10) - Wednesday, 10 October 2018

20:15 HK TIME

summary


This looks to me a race with two main chances that are priced to be outlays. Firstly, ALL YOU KNOW goes in to this event third-up and was excellent in defeat at his last outing when posting the best final-400m (22.49) at the September 26 meeting (6). The slow tempo went against him there, along with the wide gate that meant he was unable to find a position nearer to the lead. Whilst there isn’t much pace here either, he will settle a lot closer (box seat) from barrier 3. All You Know is clearly the horse to beat. The step up to a mile is a positive move for UNIVERSAL GO GO who is bred to be better over this distance, so in theory, he could set a new benchmark for himself. Outside of there two not much else makes appeal as a betting proposition. DISTRICT EXPRESS was close enough to a hot speed last time and he will be fitter second-up. LETSGOFREE when balanced-up actually hit the line in a solid manner behind Right Honourable last time and is worthy of respect, but is plenty short enough in early betting. POSITIVELY HIGH is a runner that I will be watching closely tonight with a view to other races in the future.

selections


4 ALL YOU KNOW

(rp – $3.20)

2nd @ $1.50p

3 UNIVERSAL GO GO

(rp – $4.00)

3rd @ $2.35p

7 DISTRICT EXPRESS

(rp – $8.00)

8th

9 LETSGOFREE

(rp – $7.00)

4th

strategy


4 ALL YOU KNOW

WIN (4.5 units)

3 UNIVERSAL GO GO

WIN (3.5 units)

speed


There isn’t much speed on paper here and I expect UNIVERSAL GO GO to be ridden positively on or close to the lead. ALL YOU KNOW maps to trail, with CHARITY WINGS and PEARL FURU positioned not far away.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)