R3 DIANTHUS HANDICAP

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Happy Valley (M10) - Wednesday, 10 October 2018

20:15 HK TIME

summary


This looks to me a race with two main chances that are priced to be outlays. Firstly, ALL YOU KNOW goes in to this event third-up and was excellent in defeat at his last outing when posting the best final-400m (22.49) at the September 26 meeting (6). The slow tempo went against him there, along with the wide gate that meant he was unable to find a position nearer to the lead. Whilst there isn’t much pace here either, he will settle a lot closer (box seat) from barrier 3. All You Know is clearly the horse to beat. The step up to a mile is a positive move for UNIVERSAL GO GO who is bred to be better over this distance, so in theory, he could set a new benchmark for himself. Outside of there two not much else makes appeal as a betting proposition. DISTRICT EXPRESS was close enough to a hot speed last time and he will be fitter second-up. LETSGOFREE when balanced-up actually hit the line in a solid manner behind Right Honourable last time and is worthy of respect, but is plenty short enough in early betting. POSITIVELY HIGH is a runner that I will be watching closely tonight with a view to other races in the future.

selections


4 ALL YOU KNOW

(rp – $3.20)

2nd @ $1.50p

3 UNIVERSAL GO GO

(rp – $4.00)

3rd @ $2.35p

7 DISTRICT EXPRESS

(rp – $8.00)

8th

9 LETSGOFREE

(rp – $7.00)

4th

strategy


4 ALL YOU KNOW

WIN (4.5 units)

3 UNIVERSAL GO GO

WIN (3.5 units)

speed


There isn’t much speed on paper here and I expect UNIVERSAL GO GO to be ridden positively on or close to the lead. ALL YOU KNOW maps to trail, with CHARITY WINGS and PEARL FURU positioned not far away.


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