best selections and strategies


Sha Tin (M9) - Sunday, 7 October 2018

26 units Strategy

best outlay


RACE 9

1 KING GENKI (rp – $2.00)

WIN (5 units)

KING GENKI looks very well-placed to win again on the all-weather track. He’s drawn to advantage, ran well last time over a distance too short, gets significant (4.5kgs) weight relief.

Result: 1st @ $2.20 best corporate (+6 units)

NEXT BEST OUTLAYS


RACE 1

2 CHIU CHOW KID (rp – $2.80)

WIN (4 units)

Even though the map is a little against CHIU CHOW KID, if he jumps on terms and can hold a position around midfield, then he rates more than highly enough to win his first race in Hong Kong. He isn’t straight forward, but Zac Purton will be determined to get a win out of him in this class.

Result: 3rd (-4 units)

RACE 3

8 TRIUMPHANT JEWEL (rp – $3.50)

WIN (3.5 units)

2 MONEY BOY (rp – $5.00)

WIN (2.5 units)

I’m taking a stand against the favourite here with two runners who are more than capable, TRIUMPHANT JEWEL and MONEY BOY. The former is in great form for Jimmy Ting. With Money Boy being trained by the established master John Size who has given him a needed freshen-up, which the horse should benefit from greatly.

Result: 2nd (-3.5 units) + 7th (-2.5 units) -> (-6 units)

RACE 6

1 SICHUAN BOSS (rp – $5.00)

WIN (2.5 units)

6 BRING IT ON (rp – $5.00)

WIN (2.5 units)

Both SICHUAN BOSS and BRING IT ON look shades of overs to me, given the early market. I expect apprentice Wong to ride Sichuan Boss positively today in a race where there doesn’t appear to be much speed on paper. Bring It On is ready to win following two good showings so far this term.

Result: 4th (-2.5 units) + 5th (-2.5 units) -> (-5 units)

each way


RACE 5

6 WITNESS HUNTER (rp – $5.00)

WIN (2 units) & PLACE (4 units)

WITNESS HUNTER is a lightly raced horse with more upside than others he meets in this event. He didn’t have much go his way in his first run this season and showed enough ability last term to say that he’s worth sticking with at an each way price.

Result: 1st @ $7.00 & $2.40 best corporate (+12 units)(+5.6 units) -> (+17.6 units)

Overall result for 26 units strategy


+8.6 UNITS  (33% PROFIT)

This was a race meeting that belonged to Karis Teetan who rode a five-timer, but it was Victor Wong, a 4kg-claiming apprentice who drove my best bet over the line to win and ensure a meeting profit for the Best Selections and Strategies tonight! The race 9 analysis also delivered a tasty quinella with Tang Fleming.

It also marked a four-timer of sorts for my meeting best bets, with King Genki making it four NAPs in a row scoring, which I’m sure being a subscriber you’re aware of, so I won’t humble brag any more!

Pakistan Friend was well-ridden by Teetan and that early positioning (that I didn’t expect in the map) close to Sichuan Boss had the race locked up for him a long way from home. Sichuan Boss was okay to the line with Bring It On likewise. My SID review will reveal a little more.

Chiu Chow Kid on the face of things had every chance. I expected him to sprint clear off the front, but again times might reveal more.

Styling City was a good pot. However Triumphant Jewel could only manage second to My Beginner’s Luck. Interestingly the winner was the closest to the grandstand fence with many jockeys happy to have their mounts centre-track. Needless to say those centre-track were well beaten.

Zac Purton gave Witness Hunter an outstanding trip midfield with cover. The horse doesn’t appear straight forward, as he travelled up easily but didn’t seem to really let down as genuinely as you’d expect. Nevertheless he might have more to offer.

So that wraps another profitable Sunday which means I direct my focus to Happy Valley on Wednesday. My Sweet In Defeat musings for Happy Valley (M8) last week will be released tomorrow here on HH.

Cheers

 

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)