R4 KWOON CHUNG ZHUHAI EXPRESS HANDICAP

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Happy Valley (M8) - Wednesday, 3 October 2018

20:45 HK TIME

summary


There is not a great deal of speed here on paper and there are not a lot of chances either – that said, I see this is a good race to wager into. POWERMAX went okay in a recent trial but in this grade (5:2-0-2-1) he has an excellent record and his best performances have him rating well clear of his rivals. I like the booking of Zac Purton aboard him and he is drawn to take a position close to the lead. THOU SHALL SING showed signs of promise in his rookie season and he too should enjoy a good run through out the race. He end last term with an “upward trending” second which should stand him in good stead tonight. Those two seem to stand out in this race, especially once the map is taken in to account. FLYING FORCE made the Sweet In Defeat file but from the wide gate he is going to find it hard to get the right run to win the race, but he does merit respect. Whilst MICKEY RICH won nicely first-up, the event didn’t rate well overall and he needs to lift again along with FIRE AND GOLD and FOX CHEUNGER who also came through race 30.

 

From Sweet In Defeat:

FLYING FORCE

selections


2 POWERMAX

(rp – $3.00)

2nd @ $1.25p (quinella with 6 @ $11.65)

5 THOU SHALL SING

(rp – $4.00)

3rd @ $2.00p (trifecta/tierce with 6 & 2 @ $158.90)

6 FLYING FORCE

(rp – $8.00)

1st @ $12.85 & $2.80

1 MICKEY RICH

(rp – $8.50)

5th

strategy


2 POWERMAX

WIN (6 units)

5 THOU SHALL SING

WIN (4.5 units)

speed


I don’t forecast much early speed and overall pressure here and expect that THOU SHALL SING and POWERMAX can dominate proceedings up front. WALDORF can trail these two with FIRE AND GOLD a pair further back from his tricky draw.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)