R1 KWOON CHUNG HZMB SERVICES HANDICAP

-


Happy Valley (M8) - Wednesday, 3 October 2018

19:15 HK TIME

summary


This is a typical C5 event, with a few runners that look relatively evenly matched on paper. LE PEGASE will probably start favourite based on his win at Happy Valley over this distance when first-up for Jimmy Ting. He battled well on a strong pace and can certainly win again. JOLLY AMBER can win too based on his end of season success over 1800m, however he goes in to this event having not raced since May and his recent trial was no more than satisfactory. MONEY WINNER kept on well-enough behind Le Pegase the last time they clashed (race 11) when the former finished second, but the wide draw does make it a little sticky for him this time around. I expect that TRIUMPHAL WIN might really appreciate the move up to a mile and there shouldn’t be the strong pace that he encountered last time and that might allow him to settle closer in the running. As a consequence, he might be the best value play each way.

selections


7 TRIUMPHAL WIN

(rp – $6.00)

3rd @ $3.35p ($14.00 & $4.20 best corporate)

9 LE PEGASE

(rp – $3.80)

1st @ $2.35 & $1.40 ($3.00 best corporate)

5 MONEY WINNER

(rp – $5.50)

6th

8 JOLLY AMBER

(rp – $6.50)

7th

strategy


7 TRIUMPHAL WIN

WIN & PLACE (1 x 2)

9 with 7 & 5

QUINELLA

speed


I expect that the pace will be GOOD here with LE PEGASE ridden positively forward from barrier 10 with much the same expected from TRIUMPHANT LIGHT. JOLLY AMBER maps to receive a trialing run, with COME ON WONGCHOY a horse that could also take up a spot close to the leaders.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)