R7 THE NATIONAL DAY CUP (G3 HANDICAP)

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Sha Tin (M7) - Monday, 1 October 2018

16:05 HK TIME

summary


This is a race that’s probably going to be a better one to watch than being a serious betting proposition. John Size clearly holds the two leading chances and it’s a case of their relative handicap weights and fitness first up. Under the handicap conditions, HOT KING PRAWN receiving 5kg from WINNERS WAY and 7.5kg from IVICTORY, should result in him probably winning this event. He loves the straight course and the conditions of the race suit him. I expect Ivictory to make a race of it however, although he looks too short to back given the early markets. I wonder if the 1000m against the aforementioned two horses might be a bit sharp for Winners Way. He was very good fresh up when winning, but this a different proposition altogether.

selections


3 HOT KING PRAWN

(rp – $1.80)

1st @ $1.95 & $1.05 ($2.30 best corporate)

1 IVICTORY

(rp – $3.50)

2nd @ $1.30p (quinella with 3 @ $2.60)

2 WINNER’S WAY

(rp – $14.00)

5th

strategy


3 HOT KING PRAWN

WIN

speed


The pace should be GOOD here with HOT KING PRAWN sitting amongst the leaders, which could include JUMBO LUCK and FABULOUS ONE. IVICTORY can track these runners and might be able to sprint off their backs late.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)