R5 THE HONG KONG COUNTRY CLUB CHALLENGE CUP HCP

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Happy Valley (M6) - Wednesday, 26 September 2018

21:20 HK TIME

summary


This is a difficult race, although RED WARRIOR (also made ‘Sweet in Defeat’) looks interesting. He was wide without cover on his Hong Kong debut over 1200m but kept-on nicely and looked like a step up to 1650m would be suitable. He had a stack of trials prior to his first-up run, so not sure how much improvement there is out of that performance, but the distance rise is key (three UK wins were over 1600m) and he should be fitter than most. He can win but he is still a hard one to be overly confident about given he’s had just one local run. OUR HERO ran last over 1000m first-up, but his form back in February was sound and he might be some value. AMAZING SATCHMO went okay in a recent Happy Valley trial and might get the tempo to suit in this race. He is certainly good enough on form and ratings to be right in the finish with the right run. In summary though, Red Warrior is my top selection, although the value is certainly with Our Hero so use my ratings to measure the price you take to back, either or both runners.

 

From Sweet In Defeat: RED WARRIOR

selections


4 RED WARRIOR

(rp – $4.50)

1st @ $2.40 & $1.35p ($2.60 best corporate)

9 OUR HERO

(rp – $7.00)

7th

10 AMAZING SATCHMO

(rp – $5.00)

2nd @ $1.90 (quinella with 4 @ $5.05)

strategy


4 RED WARRIOR

WIN (monitor price)

9 OUR HERO

WIN (monitor price)

speed


I expect that MULTIGOGO can contest the lead with HAPPY SPIRIT here and that they’ll run along at a GOOD speed. OUR HERO can find good position with NITRO EXPRESS and RED WARRIOR not far from the front pack.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)