R9 SEATTLE HANDICAP

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Sha Tin (M5) - Saturday, 22 September 2018

17:10 HK TIME

summary


SUN TOUCH presents as a good play here. This gelding is tough and he was carrying more than 60lbs above his normal bodyweight for his return run where I thought he ran an excellent third placing. He will be fitter today, has “trimmed-up” 13lbs, and has found a race without a great deal of pace in it on paper. There are other nice prospects in this event too, but most are looking for further and might get back in the run, which doesn’t look as if it will be ideal. GREEN CARD ran well on the opening day, he too can settle on-pace and if he shows up in the same sort of form then he can figure in the finish alongside Sun Touch. SEBFIRE is shaping as a talent, and his only run boasted good figures, but the outside draw and top weight make it tough for his resumption. Much the same applies to IRISH VEGA and SMART LEADER who both have upside. RELENTLESS ME has to be another play in this race, as his end-of-season form was excellent and he’s rated highly enough for him to win here. He maps nicely too.

selections


6 SUN TOUCH

(rp – $4.00)

3rd @ $2.20p

13 RELENTLESS ME

(rp – $5.00)

2nd @ $2.45p

11 GREEN CARD

(rp – $6.50)

9th

1 SEBFIRE

(rp – $10.00)

12th

strategy


6 SUN TOUCH

WIN (5 units)

13 RELENTLESS ME

WIN (2.5 units)

speed


I’m expecting SUN TOUCH to be ridden to lead this race and be rated at a GOOD speed. COMFIRT LIFE might pressure him from barrier 11 with SMART LEADER and GREEN CARD horses that can be asked to take forward positions early.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)