R4 LOS ANGELES HANDICAP

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Sha Tin (M5) - Saturday, 22 September 2018

14:30 HK TIME

summary


The first-up win this season of LE PANACHE was excellent, he thrived off the strong tempo and proved far too good when beating rivals by four-lengths. The only concern is that it was by far and away a career-best for him, so can he repeat that or will he “bounce”? I trust that form and I’m happy to mark him favourite. BEAUTY DAY has to be a legitimate rival and is the early favourite with Zac Purton booked to ride. The outside gate and top weight are negatives although he will appreciate the step up to the mile and his final-200m (12.35) last start was the best of the race. MARVEL JOY might get a relatively easy time on the lead and he can run well, along with ENJOY LIFE who could have won a couple of races at the end of last preparation.

selections


11 LE PANACHE

(rp – $3.75)

3rd @ $1.50p

1 BEAUTY DAY

(rp – $5.00)

2nd @ $2.00p

3 ENJOY LIFE

(rp – $6.00)

8th

7 MARVEL JOY

(rp – $7.50)

11th

strategy


11 LE PANACHE

WIN (small units)

3 ENJOY LIFE

WIN (smaller units)

speed


I don’t see an abundance of pace here with MARVEL JOY likely to get a largely uncontested lead. BEAUTY DAY can work across from a wide draw, with LE PANACHE and LET US WIN likely to be well-situated after jumping from their barriers.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)