R5 SHEUNG TAK HANDICAP

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Happy Valley (M4) - Wednesday, 12 September 2018

1:15 HK TIME

summary


This is an event where it’ll be worthwhile to speculate on a couple of runners at nice prices. I think that MEGATRON and SPARKLING SWORD can control the speed in front and that being the case, each has solid claims given their respective form at the end of last season. Megatron won near the end of the June over the course and distance and with the 4.5kg claim is well-handicapped. Sparkling Sword is another well-exposed last-start winner who will settle prominently during the running of the race. RIGHT HONOURABLE impressed to the eye in a recent trial and with the booking of Zac Purton he makes some appeal, but ultimately he has only won once from 16 starts. TEN FLAMES will appreciate the drop in grade and his record in this class is rock-solid. LETSGOFREE is a little hard to assess with the stable change to Jimmy Ting, but his win at the end of the season was creditable and rated highly-enough for him to figure here with the soft run. Small outlays here though on Megatron and Sparkling Sword.

selections


9 MEGATRON

(rp – $6.50)

7th

7 SPARKLING SWORD

(rp – $7.00)

3rd @ $3.90p (trifecta/tierce with 4 & 11 @ $122.30)

4 RIGHT HONOURABLE

(rp – $5.50)

1st @ $2.85 & $1.45 ($3.40 best corporate)

2 TEN FLAMES

(rp – $7.50)

11th

11 LETSGOFREE

(rp – $9.00)

2nd @ $2.00p (quinella with 4 @ $11.90)

strategy


9 MEGATRON

WIN (2.5 units)

7 SPARKLING SWORD

WIN (2 units)

speed


I don’t expect there to be much pace in this race with MEGATRON and SPARKLING SWORD likely to work a little bit early to cross from their wide draws, before steadying the tempo. SICHUAN BOSS can take close order with RIGHT HONOURABLE and WALDORF close by.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)