R8 SHANTOU HANDICAP

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Sha Tin (M3) - Sunday, 9 September 2018

20:40 HK TIME

summary


The early favourite PAKISTAN FRIEND (who we backed last season at $17) is simply vulnerable fresh-up today. He has more upside than most and probably ends up higher in the ratings than any rivals he meets today, but he is still learning his craft and will be under the odds. ENJOY LIFE should have beaten Pakistan Friend when they clashed last season and providing Enjoy Life has settled in well to his new yard (Me Tsui) then he will be hard to beat. That said, the main bet here is CITY LEGEND. He posted almost identical figures to Pakistan Friend at his last outing, which was on the same day, but clocked the best final-600m (32.88) of the meeting. One horse has competed since from that race, King Opie, and we saw him win on the opening day so the form looks solid. City Legend is a very good each way play, notwithstanding that Pakistan Friend is going places, City Legend can beat him today. There’s no need to consider any others outside of these three as the main winning chances.

selections


5 CITY LEGEND

(rp – $4.20)

2nd @ $1.50p ($7.50 & $2.25 best corporate)

2 PAKISTAN FRIEND

(rp – $4.00)

3rd @ $1.35p

1 ENJOY LIFE

(rp – $4.80)

5th

strategy


5 CITY LEGEND

WIN & PLACE (3 x 5)

speed


Another event where there isn’t an abundance of early speed on paper, which could make things a little tricky. VITAL SPRING can be the leader from FOREVER POSH. ENJOY LIFE might be asked to trial these from HINYUEN SWIFTNESS and CITY LEGEND not far away today when compared to where he’s sat in previous starts.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)