R8 BIG WAVE BAY HANDICAP

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Happy Valley (M2) - Wednesday, 5 September 2018

2:55 HK TIME

summary


The early market seems more than a little lopsided with FORTUNE BOOTH a very good winning chance but is simply too short in the market. He might drift out towards start time, as this is a race that contains a fair amount of depth. If he stays around a mark above $5.00 then SUPER HOPPY is a good each way price and should be followed. He won both of his starts for Danny Shum last season, maps well, raced until the end of last season (has residual fitness) and can win again. BOLD STITCH has won three of his last four and likes Happy Valley, however, a couple of his wins were assisted by the prevailing track patterns and to me his rating seems over inflated at this stage. SUPER TURBO might appreciate the expected tempo here and can figure if the leaders overdo it in front. I’m happy to be on Super Hoppy in the last with an each way outlay.

selections


3 FORTUNE BOOTH

(rp – $3.50)

2nd @ $1.30p (quinella with 11 @ $7.00)

11 SUPER HOPPY

(rp – $5.00)

1st @ $4.60 & 1.55 ($6.00 & $2.20 best corporate)

2 SUPER TURBO

(rp – $7.00)

5th

4 BOLD STITCH

(rp – $8.00)

9th

strategy


11 SUPER HOPPY

WIN & PLACE (1 x 2)

speed


The pace should be at least GOOD here with ALMABABY and CHEERFULJET amongst those competing for the early lead. FANTASTIC EIGHT has shown early speed before and so has WAH MAY FRIEND. MAGIC LEGEND was ridden aggressively late last term and might be another asked to press forward hard.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)