R4 REPULSE BAY HANDICAP

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Happy Valley (M2) - Wednesday, 5 September 2018

0:45 HK TIME

summary


There is a good each way bet in this event, WINNING SUPREME. This galloper gets a drop in grade, the 4.5kg claim and will have the blinkers re-applied. His form from last season is easily good enough to win a typical Class 4 event and if he can recapture the run that saw him finish third to Win Beauty Win in April then he’ll prove hard to beat. Aside from overall fitness, the key will be how hard he has to work through the early stages. CAPTAIN BOSS can map a touch closer this time and he has upside. He closed with a meeting best 10.69 on the same night BUNDLE OF ENERGY finished third to Good Companion. While Bundle Of Energy is going to win races, he might take too much of the market share here with Purton on board. He is bred for further (he looks a miler at least) and comes through a low rating race, so I don’t fancy him at his price. LOTUS BREEZE went quite well in a trial and the blinkers are going on for the first time, which might just allow trainer Chris So to squeeze a little bit more out of the 7-year-old. I’m happy to recommend backing Winning Supreme each way though and to have Quinella and Quinella Place (Duet) outlays with him and Captain Boss.

selections


1 WINNING SUPREME

(rp – $4.20)

3rd @ $1.55p ($6.00 & $2.20 best corporate)

8 CAPTAIN BOSS

(rp – $3.80)

5th

3 LOTUS BREEZE

(rp – $5.50)

2nd @ $2.65p

4 BUNDLE OF ENERGY

(rp – $7.50)

6th

strategy


1 WINNING SUPREME

WIN & PLACE (2 x 4)

1 with 8

QUINELLA (1 unit)

1 with 8

QUINELLA PLACE / DUET (2 units)

speed


WINNING SUPREME can lead this race and if he finds the front early the pace could be controlled and only GOOD. LOTUS BREEZE might also work across towards a lead spot with the blinkers on, whilst UNIVERSAL GO GO is drawn to take handy order as well.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)