R3 MIDDLE BAY HANDICAP

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Happy Valley (M2) - Wednesday, 5 September 2018

0:15 HK TIME

summary


The newcomer COUNTRY STAR promotes plenty of interest in this event. Since early June, John Size has given this galloper six trials and he has performed nicely in most of them. Country Star clearly has upside, but no experience, and weighing that up is always going to make him hard to price. That said, this is a very thin race talent-wise and I’ve seen enough to recommend him as being the best of the night. PEARLY TREASURE posted a meeting-best 10.38 when powering home over the course and distance last season and if he can stay in touch, or within 3-5 lengths of the lead at the 400m then he is a leading chance given his finishing potential. FLYING MONKEY is the other main chance, and although he has had some health issues he had a few runs at the end of last season and can be in the finish again. MR RIGHT has similar form and often goes well fresh. All told though, while finding his price isn’t straight forward, to my eye Country Star should be winning this.

selections


5 COUNTRY STAR

(rp – $2.50)

4th DH

8 PEARLY TREASURE

(rp – $4.80)

10th

1 FLYING MONKEY

(rp – $6.50)

4th DH

2 MR RIGHT

(rp – $9.00)

2nd @ $3.40p

strategy


5 COUNTRY STAR

WIN (7 units)

speed


There appears like there’ll be good pressure in this race with WINFULL PATROL and MR RIGHT vying for the lead. OCEAN ROAR also has plenty of early dash and FLYING MONKEY is drawn to settle handy to the lead.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)