R7 CONTENTMENT HANDICAP

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Shatin (M88) - Sunday, 15 July 2018

19:30 HK TIME

summary


This race looks very difficult race on paper and I’m not that interested in outlaying here with very little separating the bulk of the field ratings-wise and with the speed map not easy to predict behind likely leader GO BEAUTY GO. MARZOUQ overcame a steady tempo under a good ride from Moreira last time and might be able to win again, but Moreira rides LAST KINGDOM who comes down in class (as does DANCES WITH DRAGON). Moreira jumping off Marzouq will ensure that galloper is bigger odds than he should be, but this reads as though Joao was booked to ride Last Kingdom some time ago (highly possible with the Championship on the line). GREEN ENERGY is another horse that is racing well despite not having an abundance of luck in the running. ENCOURAGING has had a month between race starts but his effort over the shorter distance was okay and he might relish the move up in to the mile. Overall though it’s a “no bet” race for me.

selections


4 MARZOUQ

(rp – $5.00)

3 LAST KINGDOM

(rp – $6.00)

6 GREEN ENERGY

(rp – $7.00)

7 ENCOURAGING

(rp – $7.50)

strategy


NO OUTLAY RECOMMENDED

speed


GO BEAUTY GO will lead this race and there’s unlikely to be much pressure, which should lead to a pace on the SLOW side of GOOD overall. CIRCUIT NUMBER TWO can trail with FEARLESS FIRE potentially settling not far away.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)