R5 SWEET ORANGE HANDICAP

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Happy Valley (M87) - Wednesday, 11 July 2018

1:15 HK TIME

summary


Title-chasing hoop Zac Purton has a good chance to post a win here with SKY MELODY. The move up to 1800m is a major positive and he might not have to settle as far back off the speed compared to recent starts from a low draw tonight. Yes, there were few excuses when second time but if he holds that form then he can win as the best chance here. NAMJONG PLUS is fit, holding his form well, and the reasonably quick back-up will probably suit him. He should run strongly with the help of the apprentice claim. MULTI FACETS has performed well at his last two Happy Valley starts and is another that I think will appreciate the move up to 1800m and he maps to get an economical run. Much the same can be said for MCQUEEN, who is more exposed and has had many chances, but can’t be discounted because he always puts himself into his races. I’m happy to make SKY MELODY the best of the night, although I’ll be recommending an outlay on the low-end, compared with other more confident best bets through out the season.

selections


4   SKY MELODY

(rp – $3.00)

10 NAMJONG PLUS

(rp – $5.50)

1   MULTI FACETS

(rp – $5.50)

9   MCQUEEN

(rp – $9.00)

strategy


10 SKY MELODY

WIN (4.5 units)

speed


I expect this to be run at GOOD speed with HIGH VOLATILITY setting the tempo in front from HAPPY SPIRIT and MCQUEEN. DYNAMIC EAGLE is drawn to get a soft run behind the main pace from MULTI FACETS.

SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:


88

MEETINGS - SEASONS END

2485

TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS

+39.8

UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)