best selections and strategies
Happy Valley (M87) - Wednesday, 11 July 2018
17 units strategy
best outlay
RACE 5
4 SKY MELODY
WIN (4.5 units)
SKY MELODY (rp – $3.00) looks well placed to win his first race in Hong Kong. Zac Purton jumps aboard following an excellent last start second, and the horse should relish his return to 1800m. Even though he doesn’t have much early speed, from a handy draw he should be able to settle a pair or two closer than in recent starts.
NEXT BEST OUTLAYS
Race 6
3 SAUL’S SPECIAL
WIN (3.5 units)
12 NICE FANDANGO
WIN (2 units)
SAUL’S SPECIAL (rp – $3.30) will provide another good ride for Purton, with the horses recent form being very strong for this event tonight. He returns to the Valley after one start where he was no chance when taken back from a wide draw. NICE FANDANGO (rp – $5.00) is also worth specking at his price. He’s drawn to be in the race for a long way.
Race 1
5 ROOKIE STAR
WIN (1.5 units)
9 TELECOM TITAN
WIN (1.5 units)
In the opener, both ROOKIE STAR (rp – $5.50) and TELECOM TITAN (rp – $6.00) are worth small outlays given their form and prices. The former steps up in distance and has been hitting the line suggesting it will suit. The latter needs to settle in the running and can also be a factor over this trip if he can.
each way outlay
Race 8
12 BUOYANT BOY
WIN (1 unit)& PLACE (3 units)
BUOYANT BOY (rp – $7.00) takes a rise in grade following a rather easy last start win. He has a little to find on ratings to be competitive, but with the light weight tonight, I believe he can find the necessary to win at an excellent each way price.
Overall result for 21 unit strategy
+23.3 UNITS (5% PROFIT)
The heavy rain during the Sha Tin program really influenced the track, it was a huge advantage to be racing close to the rail and on the speed.
Have Fun Together ran an enormous race all things considered. He missed the kick by a couple of lengths before getting held up at the top of the straight, and made huge ground late and wide on the track.
Superich was brilliant and he looks a galloper with a lot of promise. He maintained a wide run and was powerful through the line. Noble Steed also did a good job to finish second, he’s got points in hand for the new season.
Shining On and Sunshine Holiday never really got into the race given how the track played.
So that brings to an end season 2017/18. Congratulations to John Size, Champion Trainer and Zac Purton, Champion Jockey for their achievements through out the term. It will certainly be a different landscape with Joao Moreira leaving to Japan and I look forward to unlocking plenty of winners factoring-in next season’s crop of jockeys!
Thanks for following Hutchi’s Honkers through out Hong Kong season 2017/18! It was satisfying to turn a seasonal profit, that was the goal and even though it wasn’t large, for bigger players who are able to earn rebates via their respective agencies, it’s been significant.
Cheers
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SEASON 2017/18 TOTAL STATS:
88
MEETINGS - SEASONS END
2485
TOTAL OUTLAY OF UNITS
+39.8
UNITS (1.6% PROFIT)